Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 3.071215 3.667429 4.333281 5.129787 6.054319 7.091213 8.339653
2025-11-16 2.225060 2.988471 3.930576 5.169448 6.745273 8.671397 11.191076
2025-11-23 1.703048 2.524986 3.626942 5.191948 7.333099 10.132063 14.034208
2025-11-30 1.333564 2.157033 3.343632 5.143598 7.761932 11.380504 16.694546
2025-12-07 1.021590 1.792895 2.981219 4.895558 7.838194 12.110795 18.678115
2025-12-14 0.835461 1.577880 2.791901 4.853735 8.178298 13.213951 21.259289
2025-12-21 0.696432 1.408917 2.640218 4.835174 8.531069 14.345504 23.959871
2025-12-28 0.632739 1.358495 2.673633 5.116365 9.381800 16.307292 28.088395
2026-01-04 0.558479 1.272213 2.627591 5.248291 9.988633 17.922134 31.788573
2026-01-11 0.506120 1.218128 2.629874 5.461559 10.749494 19.843751 36.127972
2026-01-18 0.438900 1.118909 2.529004 5.466147 11.132354 21.149622 39.528511
2026-01-25 0.364826 0.988523 2.344190 5.281054 11.140063 21.794857 41.833805
2026-02-01 0.301576 0.870548 2.168697 5.095841 11.136892 22.438375 44.225174
2026-02-08 0.262937 0.803997 2.093624 5.107444 11.517055 23.810553 48.027330
2026-02-15 0.230066 0.744578 2.024490 5.121143 11.899993 25.214997 51.988383
2026-02-22 0.198329 0.680360 1.932780 5.070774 12.141718 26.363358 55.547116
2026-03-01 0.161783 0.592463 1.766903 4.825109 11.937566 26.615338 57.403795
2026-03-08 0.140177 0.543811 1.692051 4.783589 12.171724 27.757216 61.065937
2026-03-15 0.122537 0.502949 1.630435 4.765196 12.453680 29.014816 65.038971
2026-03-22 0.117526 0.503451 1.683139 5.042744 13.443185 31.819268 72.314457
2026-03-29 0.107913 0.485235 1.679430 5.172971 14.097891 33.958004 78.356568
2026-04-05 0.101558 0.477337 1.704752 5.383511 14.964254 36.611658 85.628064
2026-04-12 0.090196 0.446989 1.656844 5.388041 15.327180 38.188171 90.727736